Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.007930 0.008918 0.009997 0.011267 0.012723 0.014344 0.016291
2025-01-19 0.006171 0.007466 0.009003 0.010972 0.013446 0.016470 0.020480
2025-01-26 0.005315 0.006746 0.008540 0.010977 0.014233 0.018483 0.024528
2025-02-02 0.004897 0.006466 0.008526 0.011464 0.015606 0.021326 0.029980
2025-02-09 0.004389 0.005985 0.008161 0.011391 0.016152 0.023049 0.034054
2025-02-16 0.004036 0.005666 0.007961 0.011497 0.016925 0.025144 0.038928
2025-02-23 0.003669 0.005279 0.007615 0.011330 0.017241 0.026550 0.042874
2025-03-02 0.003441 0.005071 0.007502 0.011490 0.018060 0.028816 0.048536
2025-03-09 0.003188 0.004798 0.007259 0.011409 0.018466 0.030430 0.053277
2025-03-16 0.002880 0.004412 0.006802 0.010929 0.018138 0.030736 0.055658
2025-03-23 0.002696 0.004206 0.006613 0.010871 0.018522 0.032324 0.060671
2025-03-30 0.002641 0.004203 0.006751 0.011382 0.019964 0.036004 0.070368
2025-04-06 0.002416 0.003906 0.006385 0.010989 0.019745 0.036595 0.073995
2025-04-13 0.002229 0.003662 0.006092 0.010704 0.019704 0.037547 0.078610
2025-04-20 0.002108 0.003520 0.005964 0.010708 0.020219 0.039676 0.086207
2025-04-27 0.002068 0.003517 0.006079 0.011182 0.021726 0.044076 0.099917
2025-05-04 0.001954 0.003372 0.005923 0.011111 0.022096 0.046068 0.108174
2025-05-11 0.001873 0.003280 0.005859 0.011214 0.022845 0.049006 0.119411
2025-05-18 0.001765 0.003132 0.005675 0.011052 0.022992 0.050565 0.127299
2025-05-25 0.001705 0.003067 0.005645 0.011207 0.023866 0.053974 0.140990
2025-06-01 0.001622 0.002953 0.005511 0.011128 0.024192 0.056086 0.151431
2025-06-08 0.001503 0.002763 0.005211 0.010662 0.023551 0.055671 0.154274
2025-06-15 0.001436 0.002670 0.005102 0.010606 0.023894 0.057851 0.165588